Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will José Antonio Kast win at least 28% of votes in the first round?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the vote share José Antonio Kast wins in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 16, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.