Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Josh Green be the Hawaii Democratic nominee for Governor?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
97¢
24h volume
$3.2K
Source path
to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the election for Governor of Hawaii in the
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 8, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.