Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Justin Thomas shoot the best round at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

43¢

24h volume

$59.80

Source path

to the player that finishes with the best score in a single full round at the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shi

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 21, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.