Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?

Resolves in 21h.

Probability

22¢

24h volume

$17.4K

Source path

to the number of hours since August 20, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 21, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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