Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$2.7K

Source path

to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai an

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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