Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Kai and Speed have less than 20 Fortnite losses during their gauntlet?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

50¢

24h volume

$220.00

Source path

to the final value displayed on the Fortnite losses counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 21, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.