Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by drowning?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$469.35
Source path
in-game deaths that have occurred up to that time
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.