Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Kai or Speed die to a spider?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

65¢

24h volume

$485.08

Source path

the actual mob type that caused the in-game death rather than the name displayed in the death message

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.