Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2020 US presidential election, Joe Biden received 63% of

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Nov 5, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.