Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Kanye West have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

9¢

24h volume

$51.48

Source path

to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on June 30, 2026, 12PM ET

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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