Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Ken Martin be the next DNC chair?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the first official announcement of the next Chair of the Democratic Party from the Democratic Party

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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