Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

29¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 1, 2027
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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