Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jan 1, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket