Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Leysander Aguilar Ordenes win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$354.50
Source path
to the winner of this election
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 29, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.