Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Liftoff Mobile's market cap be between $4.75B and $5.00B at market close on IPO day?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Feb 6, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.