Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "People" list for 2026
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.