Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

29¢

24h volume

$1.85

Source path

to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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