Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be 90k or more?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

49¢

24h volume

$422.93

Source path

to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 21, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.