Orrery Resolution Risk

Settlement is still pending.

UMA pending

Price can look final before UMA confirmation. Verify the source before treating it as outcome.

Market

Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil?

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

credible media sources reports and official info from The Superior Electoral Court of Brazil https://www

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01UMA status: proposed
  • 02Expiry: Oct 30, 2022
  • 03Check whether UMA has proposed, disputed, or finalized the result.
  • 04Confirm the primary source named by the market rules.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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