Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Marty Quinn be the Oklahoma Commissioner of Insurance Republican nominee?

Resolves in 69h.

Probability

22¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Commissioner of I

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 25, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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