Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
35¢
24h volume
$1.8K
Source path
announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual sells were made
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 14, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.