Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
98¢
24h volume
$482.99
Source path
Official government information
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 30, 2027
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.