Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2025
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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