Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "Moana" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

16¢

24h volume

$420.76

Source path

to how much "Moana (2026)" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 26, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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