Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
8¢
24h volume
$223.39
Source path
to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Oct 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.