Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
37¢
24h volume
$5.5K
Source path
to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Sep 30, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.