Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?
Resolves in 16h.
Probability
4¢
24h volume
$13.4K
Source path
@MrBeast
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 17, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.