Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.
Probability
100¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
the first published price at market listing and will not change due to estimate revisions or catalogue errata
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: not stated
- 02UMA status: resolved
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.