Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

37¢

24h volume

$20.00

Source path

to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 Fr

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Oct 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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