Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?

Resolves in 49h.

Probability

51¢

24h volume

$6.8K

Source path

to the official closing price for Opendoor (OPEN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday)

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 3, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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