Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.
Probability
85¢
24h volume
$7.0K
Source path
consensus of credible reporting
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: not stated
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.