Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will People’s Republic of China win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

the medal figures as they stand after medals are awarded for the final event in the Paris 2024 Paralympic Games

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Sep 8, 2024
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.