Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Robert Franklin be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

66¢

24h volume

$1.5K

Source path

to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the election for Oklahoma Superintendent of

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 25, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.