Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Resolves in 68h.

Probability

31¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

nato

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 11, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket