Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

59¢

24h volume

$1.1K

Source path

to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 15, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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