Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$2.3K
Source path
to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 15, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.