Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
1¢
24h volume
$2.6K
Source path
to how much "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 8, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.