Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in July?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$0.00
Source path
to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National O
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.