Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Apr 30, 2026
  • 02UMA status: resolved
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.