Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolves in 35h.
Probability
46¢
24h volume
$144.9K
Source path
Official FIFA data
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jun 28, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.