Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 Rating revenues be above $14.5B?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

2¢

24h volume

$20.00

Source path

the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 28, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket