Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in August 2026?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
44¢
24h volume
$140.00
Source path
to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.