Orrery Resolution Risk
Resolution path looks readable.
Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.
Market
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of July?
Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.
Probability
42¢
24h volume
$25.00
Source path
SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX comple
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
- 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.