Orrery Resolution Risk
Price is not settlement.
A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.
Market
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.
Probability
2¢
24h volume
$7.2K
Source path
SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX comple
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Jul 1, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
- 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.