Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?
Resolves in 61h.
Probability
6¢
24h volume
$1.9K
Source path
to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 9, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.