Orrery Resolution Risk

Source quality now matters more than price.

Resolving soon

Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.

Market

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?

Resolves in 41h.

Probability

45¢

24h volume

$2.7K

Source path

to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 16, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
  • 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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