Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near YES

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?

YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

99¢

24h volume

$1.4K

Source path

to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Aug 16, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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