Orrery Resolution Risk
Source quality now matters more than price.
Near expiry, small wording differences and source timing can dominate price action.
Market
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
Resolves in 46h.
Probability
76¢
24h volume
$5.6K
Source path
to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes
Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.
What to verify
- 01Expiry: Aug 2, 2026
- 02UMA status: not reported
- 03Read the exact resolution rule before interpreting late moves.
- 04Check event siblings for similar-but-not-identical contract wording.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.