Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

26¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Dec 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.