Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

19¢

24h volume

$93.00

Source path

to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 31, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.